Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gamba Osaka in this match.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Gamba Osaka
31.9% ( 2.08)	27.02% ( 0.43)	41.09% ( -2.5)

Both teams to score 50.1% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.94% (

-0.97)

55.06% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.68% (

-0.81)

76.32% (

0.81)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

0.98)

31.96% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58% (

1.11)

68.42% (

-1.1)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63% (

-1.73)

26.37% (

1.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.48% (

-2.37)

61.52% (

2.37)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 31.9%

Gamba Osaka 41.08%

Draw 27.02%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.9%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.08%