Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 44.72%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
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