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J1 League | Gameweek 1
Feb 16, 2025 at 5am UK
Machida Athletic Stadium

Machida Zelvia
1 - 2
Hiroshima

Soma (26')
Oh (58'), Oh (58'), Nishimura (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arslan (59'), Nakamura (77')
Arslan (48')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, December 8 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 3-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, December 8 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Machida Zelvia win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
25.96% (-0.651 -0.65) 25.99% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 48.05% (0.706 0.71)
Both teams to score 49.74% (-0.375 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.12% (-0.228 -0.23)53.87% (0.23 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (-0.19 -0.19)75.33% (0.194 0.19)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (-0.667 -0.67)35.87% (0.672 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.35% (-0.691 -0.69)72.65% (0.69499999999999 0.69)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (0.224 0.22)22.44% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.03% (0.332 0.33)55.96% (-0.327 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 25.96%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 48.04%
    Draw 25.99%
Machida ZelviaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.32% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 25.96%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 12.02% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.99% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 48.04%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, December 8 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, November 30 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 3-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, November 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, November 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-4 Kawasaki
Saturday, October 5 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 3-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, December 8 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 5-1 Consadole
Sunday, December 1 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 3-0 Hiroshima
Sunday, November 10 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, November 3 at 4am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, October 19 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Hiroshima
Sunday, October 6 at 8am in J1 League


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