SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
49.55% ( 0.18) | 26.45% ( -0.05) | 23.99% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.65% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% ( 0.08) | 57% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% ( 0.07) | 77.9% ( -0.07) |
| Shonan Bellmare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( 0.12) | 23.08% ( -0.12) |
