SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 35.99%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
35.99% ( 0.37) | 29.28% ( 0.05) | 34.72% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 44.07% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
