MX23RW : Sunday, April 2 00:03:42
SM
Newcastle vs. Man Utd: 15 hrs 26 mins
Dec 6, 2020 at 6am UK at Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka
Shonan Bellmare
1 - 2
Gamba Osaka
Nakagawa (35' pen.)
Kaneko (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fukuda (7'), Patric (66')
Shoji (34'), Takao (44'), Fukuda (90')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Gamba Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawGamba Osaka
26.51%25.75%47.74%
Both teams to score 50.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43%52.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77%74.23%
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29%34.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.56%71.44%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.97%22.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.65%55.35%
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 26.51%
    Gamba Osaka 47.73%
    Draw 25.74%
Shonan BellmareDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 8.09%
2-1 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 4.28%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.73%
3-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 26.51%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11.56%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 8.75%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 4.41%
2-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.67%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 47.73%

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