SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | FC Tokyo |
34% ( -0.1) | 29.52% ( 0.12) | 36.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.38% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.39% ( -0.39) | 63.6% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.1% ( -0.28) | 82.9% ( 0.28) |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( -0.28) | 34.96% ( 0.28) |
