SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
25.73% ( 0.94) | 23.5% ( -0.18) | 50.77% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 57.42% ( 1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.34% ( 1.63) | 43.66% ( -1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.95% ( 1.58) | 66.05% ( -1.58) |
| FC Tokyo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( 1.64) | 30.58% ( -1.64) |
