Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.