SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 38 | 53 | 92 |
| 2 | Yokohama F Marinos | 38 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 26 | 73 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
26.11% ( -0.69) | 24.34% ( -0.26) | 49.55% ( 0.96) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( 0.62) | 47.06% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( 0.57) | 69.3% ( -0.58) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% ( -0.22) | 32.09% ( 0.22) |
