SM
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 83.86%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Puerto Rico had a probability of 5.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for a Puerto Rico win it was 1-2 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Puerto Rico |
83.86% ( -0.06) | 10.67% ( 0.12) | 5.46% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.99% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.56% ( -1.03) | 27.44% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.95% ( -1.31) | 48.04% ( 1.3) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.34% ( -0.19) | 4.66% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.05% ( -0.59) | 18.95% ( 0.59) |
| Puerto Rico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.34% ( -1.06) | 49.66% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.58% ( -0.75) | 84.42% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Puerto Rico |
| 3-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.39)4-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.35)4-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)7-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.2% Total : 83.85% | 1-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.73% Total : 10.67% | 1-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 5.46% |
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