SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.19%) and 1-3 (6.18%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antigua and Barbuda | Draw | Dominican Republic |
28% ( -1.54) | 21.44% ( -0.71) | 50.56% ( 2.26) |
| Both teams to score 67.02% ( 1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.05% ( 2.45) | 31.95% ( -2.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.49% ( 2.81) | 53.51% ( -2.8) |
| Antigua and Barbuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0.3) | 22.87% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.39% ( 0.44) | 56.61% ( -0.43) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.89% ( 1.62) | 13.11% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.25% ( 3.19) | 39.75% ( -3.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Antigua and Barbuda | Draw | Dominican Republic |
| 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.56)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.08% Total : 28% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.57) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3% ( -0.41)3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.34)0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.44)2-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 3.14% ( 0.34)2-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.27)0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.22)1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.2)3-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.14)2-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.56% |
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