SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Puerto Rico had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Puerto Rico win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Puerto Rico |
54.1% ( -0.86) | 21.71% ( 0.39) | 24.19% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 62.04% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.18% ( -1.34) | 36.82% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.01% ( -1.47) | 58.99% ( 1.47) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% ( -0.71) | 13.7% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.07% ( -1.43) | 40.93% ( 1.44) |
| Puerto Rico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( -0.36) | 28.12% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -0.45) | 63.79% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haiti | Draw | Puerto Rico |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.71% Total : 54.1% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.53% Total : 24.19% |
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