SM
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Aruba had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 0-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for an Aruba win it was 2-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aruba | Draw | Haiti |
17.66% ( -0.02) | 19.95% ( -0.02) | 62.38% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.33% ( 0.06) | 37.66% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.09% ( 0.06) | 59.9% ( -0.06) |
| Aruba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( 0.01) | 34.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.61% ( 0.01) | 71.39% ( -0.01) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.42% ( 0.03) | 11.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.46% ( 0.07) | 36.53% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aruba | Draw | Haiti |
| 2-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 17.66% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% 0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.95% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.33% ( -0)0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 4.27% Total : 62.38% |
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