SM
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 57.35%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Aruba win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Aruba |
57.35% ( -0.04) | 21.12% ( -0.07) | 21.53% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.5% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( 0.51) | 37.23% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% ( 0.55) | 59.44% ( -0.55) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% ( 0.15) | 12.85% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.78% ( 0.31) | 39.22% ( -0.31) |
| Aruba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( 0.39) | 30.57% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% ( 0.47) | 66.8% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haiti | Draw | Aruba |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 21.53% |
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