SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 87.01%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 3.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.35%) and 1-0 (11.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.41%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (1.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albania | Draw | Liechtenstein |
87.01% ( 0.01) | 9.98% ( 0.01) | 3.01% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 28.95% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.87% ( -0.23) | 39.13% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.55% ( -0.25) | 61.45% ( 0.25) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.78% ( -0.04) | 6.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.5% ( -0.12) | 23.5% ( 0.12) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 30.87% ( -0.28) | 69.12% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 5.35% ( -0.1) | 94.65% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albania | Draw | Liechtenstein |
| 2-0 @ 16.58% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 15.35% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 86.99% | 1-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 9.98% | 0-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 1.42% Total : 3.01% |
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