SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Poland | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Moldova | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 7 | -11 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Poland | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Moldova | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 7 | -11 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Moldova win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Albania |
24.84% ( -0.35) | 25.42% ( -0.04) | 49.74% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 50.4% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( -0.1) | 52.51% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( -0.09) | 74.17% ( 0.08) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% ( -0.36) | 36.09% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% ( -0.37) | 72.87% ( 0.37) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( 0.13) | 21.13% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.02% ( 0.2) | 53.97% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moldova | Draw | Albania |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 49.73% |
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