SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Varda SE had a probability of 10.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Varda SE win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Varda SE |
71.96% ( -0.05) | 17.38% ( 0.07) | 10.66% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.26% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% ( -0.35) | 41.75% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( -0.35) | 64.16% ( 0.35) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.74% ( -0.1) | 10.25% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.39% ( -0.24) | 33.61% ( 0.24) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.65% ( -0.25) | 47.34% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.25% ( -0.19) | 82.74% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Varda SE |
| 2-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 71.95% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.38% | 0-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 10.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ferencvaros | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Paksi SE | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | UjpestUjpest | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Puskas AcademyPuskas Academy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Debrecen | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Diosgyor | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | FehervarFehervar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | MTK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
| 9 | Kecskemeti TE | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
| 11 | Varda SE | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 12 | Mezokovesd-ZsoryMezokovesdi | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
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