SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fehervar had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Fehervar win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fehervar | Draw | Ferencvaros |
19.83% ( 0.17) | 24.48% ( -0.05) | 55.69% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.19% ( 0.37) | 53.81% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( 0.31) | 75.28% ( -0.31) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.25% ( 0.4) | 41.74% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.79% ( 0.35) | 78.21% ( -0.35) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( 0.09) | 19.23% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.06% ( 0.15) | 50.93% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fehervar | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.83% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 10.91% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ferencvaros | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 17 | 18 |
| 2 | Paksi SE | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | MTK | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 | UjpestUjpest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 14 |
| 5 | Diosgyor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Debrecen | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Puskas AcademyPuskas Academy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Kecskemeti TE | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | FehervarFehervar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
| 11 | Mezokovesd-ZsoryMezokovesdi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 12 | Varda SE | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
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