SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | AEK Athens |
29.25% ( 0.42) | 27.09% ( 0.19) | 43.66% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.75% ( -0.52) | 56.25% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.71% ( -0.42) | 77.29% ( 0.42) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% ( 0.05) | 34.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.78% ( 0.05) | 71.22% ( -0.05) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.54) | 25.57% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.56% ( -0.74) | 60.44% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 29.25% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.26% Total : 43.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 59 |
| 3 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 56 |
| 4 | PAOKPAOK | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 54 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 40 |
| 6 | Volos | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 29 |
| 8 | AtromitosAtromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 9 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
| 10 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 25 |
| 11 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 23 |
| 12 | Ionikos | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 18 |
| 13 | LamiaLamia | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 17 |
| 14 | LevadiakosLevadiakos | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 17 |
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