SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 76.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 7.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (11.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panetolikos |
76.53% ( 1.22) | 16.1% ( -0.81) | 7.37% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 37.73% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( 1.97) | 46.68% ( -1.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( 1.82) | 68.95% ( -1.82) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.61% ( 0.85) | 10.39% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.09% ( 1.9) | 33.91% ( -1.9) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.1% ( 0.19) | 57.89% ( -0.19) |
