SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 73.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 8.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.39%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Panetolikos |
73.8% ( -0.19) | 17.69% ( 0.37) | 8.51% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 38.01% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.49% ( -2.06) | 49.51% ( 2.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% ( -1.88) | 71.54% ( 1.88) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.11% ( -0.63) | 11.89% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.78% ( -1.35) | 37.22% ( 1.35) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.15% ( -1.72) | 56.85% ( 1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 11.04% ( -1) | 88.96% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Panetolikos |
| 2-0 @ 15.32% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 14.39% ( 0.83)3-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.23)5-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.82% Total : 73.77% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.35% Total : 17.69% | 0-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.32% Total : 8.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 59 |
| 3 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 56 |
| 4 | PAOKPAOK | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 54 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 40 |
| 6 | Volos | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 29 |
| 8 | AtromitosAtromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 9 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
| 10 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 25 |
| 11 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 23 |
| 12 | Ionikos | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 18 |
| 13 | LamiaLamia | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 17 |
| 14 | LevadiakosLevadiakos | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 17 |
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