SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olympiacos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
49.6% ( -0.89) | 25.86% ( 0.35) | 24.53% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.57% ( -0.88) | 54.43% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.2% ( -0.74) | 75.8% ( 0.75) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( -0.75) | 21.98% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.72% ( -1.15) | 55.27% ( 1.15) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( 0) | 37.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.8% ( 0) | 74.2% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.08% Total : 49.6% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 59 |
| 3 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 56 |
| 4 | PAOKPAOK | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 54 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 40 |
| 6 | Volos | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 29 |
| 8 | AtromitosAtromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 9 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
| 10 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 25 |
| 11 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 23 |
| 12 | Ionikos | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 18 |
| 13 | LamiaLamia | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 17 |
| 14 | LevadiakosLevadiakos | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 17 |
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