SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | AEK Athens |
51.67% ( 0.63) | 23.09% ( -0.2) | 25.24% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.72% ( 0.52) | 42.28% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.32% ( 0.51) | 64.68% ( -0.52) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( 0.41) | 16.43% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.89% ( 0.75) | 46.11% ( -0.74) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( -0.06) | 30.24% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.59% ( -0.08) | 66.41% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.34% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.04% Total : 25.24% |
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