SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panserraikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
23.35% ( 0.27) | 24.14% ( -0) | 52.51% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( 0.29) | 48.65% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% ( 0.26) | 70.77% ( -0.26) |
| Panserraikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% ( 0.41) | 35.31% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.93% ( 0.43) | 72.06% ( -0.43) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% ( 0) | 18.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.3% ( 0.01) | 49.7% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panserraikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.99% Total : 23.35% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.3% 0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PAOKPAOK | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 41 |
| 2 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 14 | 33 | 41 |
| 3 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 35 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
| 7 | AtromitosAtromitos | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 23 |
| 8 | LamiaLamia | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Panserraikos | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
| 11 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 14 |
| 12 | Volos | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 14 |
| 13 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 12 |
| 14 | Kifisia | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 12 |
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