SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 79.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 5.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.51%) and 3-0 (13.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Panserraikos |
79.95% ( -0.02) | 14.57% ( 0.03) | 5.48% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 32.45% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( -0.17) | 47.51% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( -0.16) | 69.71% ( 0.16) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.28% ( -0.05) | 9.72% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.63% ( -0.11) | 32.37% ( 0.11) |
| Panserraikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.94% ( -0.15) | 64.06% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 7.41% ( -0.07) | 92.59% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Panserraikos |
| 2-0 @ 16.91% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 14.51% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 79.94% | 1-1 @ 6.46% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 14.57% | 0-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.26% Total : 5.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PAOKPAOK | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 41 |
| 2 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 14 | 33 | 41 |
| 3 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 35 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
| 7 | AtromitosAtromitos | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 23 |
| 8 | LamiaLamia | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Panserraikos | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 |
| 10 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
| 11 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 14 |
| 12 | Volos | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 33 | -17 | 14 |
| 13 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 12 |
| 14 | Kifisia | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 12 |
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