SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Olympiacos |
57.42% ( 1.44) | 23.5% ( -0.39) | 19.08% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.02% ( 0.22) | 50.98% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.16% ( 0.19) | 72.84% ( -0.19) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( 0.61) | 17.53% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.95% ( 1.05) | 48.05% ( -1.04) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.07% ( -1.02) | 40.93% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.5% ( -0.93) | 77.49% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.33)2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.4% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 59 |
| 3 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 56 |
| 4 | PAOKPAOK | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 54 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 40 |
| 6 | Volos | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 29 |
| 8 | AtromitosAtromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 9 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
| 10 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 25 |
| 11 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 23 |
| 12 | Ionikos | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 18 |
| 13 | LamiaLamia | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 17 |
| 14 | LevadiakosLevadiakos | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 17 |
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