SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 44%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| OFI Crete | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
44% ( 0.11) | 27.45% ( -0.16) | 28.55% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.36% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.16% ( 0.6) | 57.84% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.43% ( 0.47) | 78.56% ( -0.47) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.34) | 26.12% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.82% ( 0.45) | 61.18% ( -0.45) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% ( 0.37) | 35.9% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.32% ( 0.37) | 72.68% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| OFI Crete | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.97% Total : 28.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 59 |
| 3 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 56 |
| 4 | PAOKPAOK | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 54 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 40 |
| 6 | Volos | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 29 |
| 8 | AtromitosAtromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 9 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
| 10 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 25 |
| 11 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 23 |
| 12 | Ionikos | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 18 |
| 13 | LamiaLamia | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 17 |
| 14 | LevadiakosLevadiakos | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 17 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
