SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for OFI Crete in this match.
| Result | ||
| OFI Crete | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
53.9% ( 0.08) | 26.05% ( -0.02) | 20.05% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.18% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.89% ( 0.01) | 59.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.44% ( 0.01) | 79.55% ( -0.01) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.04) | 22.07% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.58% ( 0.05) | 55.42% ( -0.05) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.41% ( -0.06) | 44.59% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.4% ( -0.05) | 80.6% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| OFI Crete | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 14.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.89% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 59 |
| 3 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 56 |
| 4 | PAOKPAOK | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 54 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 40 |
| 6 | Volos | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 29 |
| 8 | AtromitosAtromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 9 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
| 10 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 25 |
| 11 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 23 |
| 12 | Ionikos | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 18 |
| 13 | LamiaLamia | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 17 |
| 14 | LevadiakosLevadiakos | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 17 |
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