SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 8.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.38%) and 3-0 (11.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panetolikos |
75.1% ( 0.03) | 16.73% ( -0.02) | 8.17% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.41% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.37% ( 0) | 46.64% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% ( 0) | 68.9% ( -0) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.25% ( 0.01) | 10.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.28% ( 0.02) | 34.72% ( -0.02) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.16% ( -0.05) | 55.85% ( 0.04) |
