SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.32%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Ajax |
32.28% ( -2.57) | 22.48% ( -0.18) | 45.25% ( 2.75) |
| Both teams to score 65.93% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.01) | 34.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.55% ( 0.01) | 56.45% ( -0.01) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -1.34) | 21.65% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( -2.09) | 54.78% ( 2.09) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( 1.06) | 15.85% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.95% ( 1.91) | 45.05% ( -1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.54% Total : 32.28% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.36)1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.22)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.25% |
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