SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Jamaica | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Jamaica | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Trinidad and Tobago |
46.29% ( 0.27) | 28.54% ( -0.19) | 25.18% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.84% ( 0.55) | 63.16% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.42% ( 0.39) | 82.58% ( -0.39) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( 0.4) | 27.43% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.09% ( 0.52) | 62.91% ( -0.52) |
| Trinidad and Tobago Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.25% ( 0.24) | 41.75% ( -0.24) |
