SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | AEK Athens |
36.03% ( 0.11) | 24.97% ( -0.01) | 38.99% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% ( 0.07) | 45.57% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% ( 0.07) | 67.89% ( -0.07) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( 0.09) | 24.75% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.68% ( 0.13) | 59.31% ( -0.13) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( -0.02) | 23.18% ( 0.02) |
