SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 23.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 3-1 (6.79%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
55.95% ( -0.59) | 20.48% ( 0.23) | 23.57% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 65.87% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.5% ( -0.72) | 31.5% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.03% ( -0.86) | 52.97% ( 0.86) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.6% ( -0.39) | 11.4% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.85% ( -0.85) | 36.15% ( 0.85) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( -0.14) | 25.66% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.44% ( -0.19) | 60.56% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.02% Total : 55.95% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 77 | 34 | 43 | 75 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 59 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 50 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
| 9 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
| 10 | Brentford | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 37 |
| 13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 34 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 33 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 29 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 28 |
| 18 | Everton | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 28 |
| 19 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 27 |
| 20 | Southampton | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 24 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
