Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Chesterfield |
57.38% (![]() | 23.34% (![]() | 19.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.95% (![]() | 50.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.98% (![]() | 72.02% (![]() |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.79% (![]() | 17.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.52% (![]() | 47.48% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.83% (![]() | 40.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.2% (![]() | 76.8% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 12.16% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.7% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 11.09% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.45% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.3% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 77 | 34 | 43 | 75 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 59 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
6 | Aston Villa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
7 | Liverpool | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 50 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
9 | Fulham | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Brentford | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 44 |
11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 37 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 34 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 34 |
15 | Bournemouth | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 33 |
16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 28 |
18 | Everton | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 28 |
19 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 27 |
20 | Southampton | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 24 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: