MX23RW : Tuesday, April 25 00:52:04
SM
Villa vs. Fulham: 17 hrs 52 mins
FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
West Brom
4 - 0
Chesterfield
Swift (23'), Rogic (48'), Livermore (54'), Malcolm (90+1')
Ajayi (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Banks (68'), Dobra (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Chesterfield

Following a terrible scare in Chesterfield, now back on home soil, Albion's second string should make the most of their second chance. The hosts' greater individual quality is set to shine, as competition for places in a thriving team will spur them on to a place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChesterfield
57.38% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 23.34% (-0.133 -0.13) 19.29% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.54% (0.705 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.782 0.78)50.05% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (0.692 0.69)72.02% (-0.69 -0.69)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (0.262 0.26)17.2% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (0.461 0.46)47.48% (-0.46 -0.46)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.83% (0.66500000000001 0.67)40.16% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (0.6 0.6)76.8% (-0.598 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 57.38%
    Chesterfield 19.29%
    Draw 23.33%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luton 2-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Reading
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Preston
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-2 West Brom
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 West Brom
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chesterfield 4-1 Scunthorpe
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-2 Chesterfield
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-1 Dorking
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 1-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
You May Like

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!
Read more!
Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal32236377344375
2Manchester CityMan City30224478285070
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle311611454252959
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3018574637959
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32165115851753
6Aston Villa32156114541451
7Liverpool31148959382150
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29147854371749
9Fulham31136124442245
10Brentford32101484843544
11Chelsea31109123033-339
12Crystal Palace32910133140-937
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham3197153341-834
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3297162744-1734
15Bournemouth3296173163-3233
16Leeds UnitedLeeds3278174162-2129
17Leicester CityLeicester3284204356-1328
18Everton32610162446-2228
19Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3269172659-3327
20Southampton3266202756-2924
Scroll for more - Tap for full version

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .