SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
63.31% ( 0.04) | 19.93% ( -0.01) | 16.76% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.76% ( -0.04) | 39.23% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.43% ( -0.04) | 61.57% ( 0.04) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.2% ( -0) | 11.8% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.99% ( -0) | 37.01% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( -0.06) | 36.66% ( 0.06) |
