SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Olympiacos |
62.71% ( 0.14) | 21.65% ( -0.05) | 15.64% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.66% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( 0.03) | 48.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( 0.03) | 70.97% ( -0.02) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( 0.06) | 15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% ( 0.1) | 43.45% ( -0.1) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.07% ( -0.11) | 43.93% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.94% ( -0.09) | 80.06% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 62.7% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.65% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 15.64% |
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