SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 17 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 18 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 | Honka | 17 | 19 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Maribor |
41.02% ( -0.01) | 23.4% ( -0) | 35.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.51% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% ( 0.02) | 38.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.61% ( 0.02) | 60.39% ( -0.02) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( 0) | 19% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.44% ( 0) | 50.55% ( -0) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( 0.02) | 21.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.32% ( 0.02) | 54.68% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Maribor |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 41.02% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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