SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Oulu | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Ilves | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 14 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 15 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 | Honka | 14 | 14 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Ilves win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
22.92% ( -0.21) | 25.31% ( -0) | 51.76% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.28% ( -0.17) | 53.72% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.79% ( -0.15) | 75.2% ( 0.14) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.47% ( -0.3) | 38.52% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.73% ( -0.29) | 75.27% ( 0.28) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( 0.02) | 20.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.59% ( 0.03) | 53.41% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.92% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPSKuPS | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Oulu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | HakaHaka | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | IlvesIlves | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | KTP | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | LahtiLahti | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Inter Turku | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
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