SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Honka | 14 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 14 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Oulu | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Haka | 13 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 13 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | SJK | 13 | -7 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
34.4% ( 0.23) | 24.81% ( -0.18) | 40.79% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( 0.87) | 45.09% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( 0.83) | 67.44% ( -0.83) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( 0.55) | 25.46% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.71% ( 0.75) | 60.29% ( -0.75) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.35) | 22.08% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.58% ( 0.53) | 55.42% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.4% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| Championship Round | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 24 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | SJKSJK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 42 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 35 |
| Relegation Round | |||||||||
| 1 | Oulu | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 37 |
| 2 | HakaHaka | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 3 | IlvesIlves | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 30 |
| 4 | LahtiLahti | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 29 |
| 5 | KTP | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 20 |
| 6 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 19 |
| Regular Season | |||||||||
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
| 4 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | Inter Turku | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Oulu | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | HakaHaka | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | LahtiLahti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 |
| 10 | IlvesIlves | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | KTP | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
| 12 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 15 |
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