Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stade Parc des Sports
De Almeida (11'), Natami (62')
Amofa (18'), Karamoko (47'), Natami (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramadani (48' pen., 66' pen.)
Rashiti (5'), Ramadani (42'), Bilalli (42'), Kqiku (90+4')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Progres Niederkorn and Gjilani.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gjilani win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gjilani win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Progres Niederkorn win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Progres Niederkorn | Draw | Gjilani |
34.07% ( 0.03) | 25.26% ( 0.02) | 40.67% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.05) |
| 52.81% ( -0.08) | 47.19% ( 0.08) |
| 30.58% ( -0.07) | 69.42% ( 0.07) |
| 73.35% ( -0.02) | 26.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.1% ( -0.02) | 61.9% ( 0.02) |
| 76.95% ( -0.06) | 23.05% ( 0.06) |
