SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progres Niederkorn win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Gjilani had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progres Niederkorn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Gjilani win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progres Niederkorn would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gjilani | Draw | Progres Niederkorn |
29.03% ( -0.03) | 25.71% ( -0.02) | 45.26% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.04% ( 0.07) | 50.96% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.17% ( 0.06) | 72.83% ( -0.06) |
| Gjilani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% ( 0.01) | 31.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.64% ( 0.01) | 68.35% ( -0.01) |
| Progres Niederkorn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 0.05) | 22.48% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.97% ( 0.08) | 56.02% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gjilani | Draw | Progres Niederkorn |
| 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.03% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.26% |
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