Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadiumi i qytetit Gjilan
FK Liepaja
3 - 1
Gjilani
Karasausks (49' pen.), Belakovic (64'),
Dodo (88' pen.)
Kapun (9'), Strumia (40'), Villela (45+2'), Miguel (45+3'), Belakovic (64'),
Dodo (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Krasniqi (51')
Razak Keita (45+3'), Hoxha (68')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between FK Liepaja and Gjilani.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Liepaja win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Gjilani had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Liepaja win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Gjilani win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Liepaja would win this match.
| Result |
| FK Liepaja | Draw | Gjilani |
39.59% ( 0.01) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 35.69% |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( 0.04) |
| 55.52% ( 0.05) | 44.48% ( -0.05) |
| 33.15% ( 0.04) | 66.85% ( -0.05) |
| 77.6% ( 0.02) | 22.4% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.09% ( 0.04) | 55.91% ( -0.04) |
| 75.55% ( 0.02) | 24.44% ( -0.02) |
