SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
44.62% ( 0.15) | 25.29% ( 0.17) | 30.09% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.89) | 48.69% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.81) | 70.8% ( 0.81) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( -0.31) | 21.81% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.97% ( -0.47) | 55.02% ( 0.46) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( -0.67) | 29.98% ( 0.67) |
