SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
48.77% ( -0.36) | 23.87% ( 0.28) | 27.36% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.95% ( -1.22) | 44.04% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.57% ( -1.2) | 66.43% ( 1.2) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( -0.6) | 18.18% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.82% ( -1.04) | 49.17% ( 1.04) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( -0.58) | 29.55% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.42% ( -0.71) | 65.57% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.54% Total : 48.77% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 27.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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