Both teams have had trouble keeping opponents at bay of late, and we expect neither of them to come away with a clean sheet.
That said, we are also backing Utrecht to make home advantage count and get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.37%. A win for NEC has a probability of 24.22% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest NEC win is 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.01%).