SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Viking FK had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Viking FK win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Molde |
30.8% ( 1.81) | 23.49% ( 0.7) | 45.71% ( -2.51) |
| Both teams to score 61.38% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.83% ( -2.28) | 40.17% ( 2.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.46% ( -2.4) | 62.54% ( 2.4) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( 0.02) | 25.26% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.99% ( 0.02) | 60.01% ( -0.02) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( -1.83) | 17.88% ( 1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.34% ( -3.25) | 48.66% ( 3.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.64)2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.8% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.28)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.33)0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.79% Total : 45.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | SK BrannBrann | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Viking FKViking FK | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Tromso ILTromso | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | MoldeMolde | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Stabaek FootballStabaek | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | RosenborgRosenborg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Odd | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | FK HaugesundHaugesund | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | StromsgodsetStromsgodset | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Valerenga FotballValerenga | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | SandefjordSandefjord | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | HamKam | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 4 |
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