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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Bradford City had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Bradford City win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Bradford City |
56.19% ( -0.31) | 22.82% ( 0.12) | 20.99% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( -0.25) | 45.66% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% ( -0.24) | 67.98% ( 0.24) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% ( -0.19) | 16.06% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.57% ( -0.36) | 45.43% ( 0.36) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.14% ( 0.06) | 35.86% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.37% ( 0.06) | 72.63% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 20.99% |
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