SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Morecambe |
58.29% ( 0.16) | 21.58% ( -0.03) | 20.13% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% ( -0.06) | 41.29% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.31% ( -0.06) | 63.69% ( 0.06) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( 0.03) | 13.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.68% ( 0.06) | 41.32% ( -0.06) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( -0.17) | 34.21% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.09% ( -0.18) | 70.91% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 58.29% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.57% | 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 20.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 |
| 3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 |
| 4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 |
| 9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 |
| 11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 |
| 14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 |
| 16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 |
| 18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 |
| 19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 28 |
| 20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
| 21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 |
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 |
| 23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 |
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