Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Portsmouth - EFL Trophy Quarter-Finals - Football

We expect to see an entertaining encounter at the University of Bolton Stadium on Tuesday, with both teams likely to play with more freedom than they will in their forthcoming league meeting at the weekend. Ultimately, though, Bolton are a far more settled unit under Evatt than their manager-less opponents, and should be able to squeeze out a victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Portsmouth
52.69% ( 7.12)	23.5% ( -1.73)	23.81% ( -5.39)

Both teams to score 55.35% (

0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.55% (

3.39)

45.45% (

-3.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.22% (

3.15)

67.78% (

-3.15)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

4.22)

17.22% (

-4.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48% (

6.93)

47.52% (

-6.93)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86% (

-2.46)

33.14% (

2.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26% (

-2.81)

69.74% (

2.81)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 52.69%

Portsmouth 23.81%

Draw 23.49%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 1.03) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.99) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 1.17) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.69) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.74) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.69%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.88) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.87) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( -1.47) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.95) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -1.11) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.53) Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.81%

Form, Standings, Stats